Gijs Verheijke

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Occam's Razor: The simplest explanation is the likeliest

A useful way to think is by elimination. I’m sure all of you practiced this when answering multiple-choice questions in the past. If you don’t know the answer, you can at least try to narrow it down by crossing off answers that you clearly know to be wrong. This thinking method can be taken further, and conceptualized as a RAZOR. With a razor, you can shave off unlikely explanations to get closer to the truth. The most important one to know is:

Occam’s razor states that the simplest explanation is preferable to one that is more complex. Simple theories are easier to verify. Simple solutions are easier to execute.

In other words, we should avoid looking for excessively complex solutions to a problem, and focus on what works given the circumstances. Occam’s razor can be used in a wide range of situations, as a means of making rapid decisions and establishing truths without empirical evidence. It works best as a mental model for making initial conclusions before the full scope of information can be obtained.

Source: Farnham Street

This razor makes quick work of almost all conspiracy theories, as an example chemtrails.